Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Nov. 21 SFTC Picks

Zenit St. Petersburg Win
Texas wins by DD
Manchester City w/d
Paris- Saint German win
Auburn Tigers
USC 3 pointers made
Argentina w/d
Charlotte Bobcats
Orlando Magic
76ers
Kansas State DD
San Antonio Spurs
UNC wins by 20+
OKC Thunder
Kevin Durant points or tie
Minnesota Timberwolves
Chicago Bulls
New York Knicks
25 points or more
Phoenix Suns
Michigan Wolverines
Illinois Fighting Illini
Brooklyn Nets

Tuesday, November 20, 2012

November 20 SFTC Picks

1 goal of Fewer

Spartak Moscow W/D lose by 1

Marquette DD

Chelsea Win or Draw

Valencia W/D

Texas Longhorns

Texas a&M

AOR

UCLA wins by DD

North Carolina wins by DD

St. Louis win or single digit loss

Indiana wins by DD

Illinois wins by 15+




Sunday, November 18, 2012

November 19 SFTC Picks! #GreenYou

Confidence in      

Terek Grozny
20%

Stoke City
20%

Marquette Golden Eagles
85%

Indiana wins by 20+
85%

North Carolina wins by 20+ Points
90%

Milwaukee Bucks
60%

Texas A&M Aggies

95%

San Antonio Spurs

70% 

Bears points from fgs+xPs or tie

80%

Frank Gore
65%

Kansas wins by DD

90%

Yes 1+ offensive TDs scored in 3rd quarter

90%

Illinois Fighting Illini
80%














November 18 SFTC Picks

Fulham

Cowboys Win by DD

Cincinnati Bengals

New York Jets

Washington Redskins

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Green Bay Packers

Falcons win by DD

Any other Result

Connecticut wins by 15+

Brad Keselowski

Tennessee Vols

Peyton Manning vs San Diego

Houston Dynamo W/D

Colts win or single digit loss

Ohio State wins by 15+

Brooklyn Nets

35 yards or more

NC State wins by DD

Baltimore Ravens

50+ yards

Murray State

Chicago Bulls

La Galaxy W/D

Field Goal Safety or No Score
















Friday, November 16, 2012

November 17th SFTC Picks

Tottenham Hotspur

Michigan State

AOR

Michigan Winning Margin or Tie

4 tds or More

Washington wins by 20+ points

USC

Georgia Tech wins by 15+

Clemson wins by 15+ points

Ohio State

Braxton Miller

Notre Dame wins by 25+

AOR

No interception thrown in 3rd quarter

Missouri

Vanderbilt

Utah

Oklahoma wins by DD

Dallas Mavericks

Seton Hall

Kansas State wins by 15+ points

Oregon Wins by 20+

Yes, D. Thomas will score in First Half

4 TDs or more

Arizona Wildcats

BYU

Johnny Hendricks


AOR





























NOVEMBER 16th SFTC Picks (More analysis to come)

Tennessee Vols
Confidence- (85%)

Colorado wins or single digit loss 
Confidence- (75%)

Dayton
Confidence (70%)

NC State Winning Margin
I was super impressed by the way NC State handled Penn St. And very unimpressed by UMass win over Providence.
Confidence- (85%)

Oregon State.
They played a good game against Bama, just couldnt close on opportunities, I like Oregon St. here.
Confidence- (65%)

Dallas Mavericks
Confidence- (75%)

Jazz 
Confidence- (60%)
Stay away from this game, its a coin flip but since Bynum is still gone, i have to pick Jazz because of Millsap and Jefferson, they will destroy 76ers in the paint.

Paul Millsap Pts+Rebounds
Confidence (70%)

Villanova
Confidence (85%)

Florida Atlantic Owls
Confidence (65%)
Battle to see who can be worse.

45 Points or More
Confidence- (80%)

AOR
Confidence (75%)

Memphis Grizzlies
Confidence (90%)

Trail Blazers
Confidence (60%)








Thursday, November 15, 2012

November 15 SFTC Picks #GreenMYStreak

Akron vs Oklahoma State
Odds- -2.5 OK State
Expert picks- 80.07% on OK State
OK State last W 73-65 UC Davis
Akron won last game heavily but Lost to Coastal Carolina in First game
Akron is without their top two forward (Harney and Treadwell)
With the suspension of Akrons two best forwards, Oklahoma State will dominate the paint and come out of here with a W. I think that this game will be close, but OK State will pull it out.

UNC-Asheville Win or Single Digit Loss
Tennessee Wins by DD
Odds- -11 Tennessee
Expert Picks- 75% Tennessee
Tennessee W 76-67 over Kennesaw State
UNC-Asheville L @ UNCWIlmington 59-67
UNC Asheville lost 4 starters last year, 3 that were 1000+ point scorers and it will be hard for them to pick up where they left off this early in the season against a solid Tennessee team. I feel the Tennessee team will win by 15 in this game.

Baylor Wins by 15+ Points 
Any Other Result
Odds- -13.5 Baylor
Expert Picks: 53.31% Baylor
It is hard to root for this Boston College team as they are predicted to finish last in the ACC this year. They are coming off of a terrible 9-22 season last year. Baylor on the other hand had a good season making it to the NCAA tournament before losing to Kentucky 82-70.

St.Johns Red Storm
Charleston Cougars
Odds: -2 Charleston
Expert Picks: 57.03%
If Obekpa plays the way he did against a stronger Detroit team, there is no way charleston wins this game. Even though he is a freshman, he has come in ready to play and completely overwhelmed Detroit the other day. Charleston is the favorite, but sampson cant play worse than he did on monday. St. Johns rolls to 5 point win.

NC State wins by 15+ Points
Any other result
Expert Picks: 68.77% NC State
Penn state has one solid player, Tim Frazier. NC State comes into the game being the 6th ranked team in the nation with hopes of reaching the final  four. Penn State barely beat a terrible St.Francis. NC State rolled to a 97-59 victory over Miami Ohio. I expect NC State to win this game by 25+, this will be a complete disaster for Penn State.

Oregon State
Alabama 
Experts picked Oregon State 50.21% of Time
Odds: Alabama by 2.5
Oregon State returns 4 starters with only Jared Cunningham being drafted, they could be a contender this year in the PAC 12 if there backcourt can create production. Alabama on the Other hand just battled a good South Dakota team and beat them 70-67. I think that facing a tough team early in the year is going to benefit bama. this game will be close, but i am going to take Bama barely beating the Beavers.

North Carolina
Virginia
Experts picked North Carolina 66% of time
North Carolina favored by 3.5
Bryn Renner will continue his great year and Help the Tar Heels to a victory. I am picking North Carolina to win by 10.

64 or fewer
65 or more

Providence Wins or Single Digit Loss
Massachusetts Wins by DD
Vincent Council, Providences best player is out, although UMass hasnt played good this year and i really dont see them winning by DD, or even winning this game. Im picking Providence

Boston Celtics
@ Brooklyn Nets
Rajon Rondo is a game time decision for this game and either way, Brooklyn is playing good basketball and are going to be hard to beat at home. Boston has been inconsistent thus far this year and this game really is a tossup. STAY AWAY, i flipped my coing and it lands on Brooklyn

New York Knicks
San Antonio
The San Antonio spurs are going to be trying to put the pieces together after just barely beating the Lakers on Monday, but that being said, the Spurs tough at home and this will be the Knicks first loss of the season. Spurs by 8. Carmelo needs to drop 40 for the spurs to lose to the knicks.

Dolphins 
Bills
STAY Away from this game, it could really easily go either way. I am picking the Dolphins.


Yes: Field goal made in 3rd quarter

Villanova


Miami Heat 
they will come back after a hard loss to the clippers wednesday night. They just want to get this road trip over with and head back to Miami.








































Tuesday, November 13, 2012

November 14 SFTC Picks #GreenMe

Picks For Wednesday November 14

Russia
The USA Mens soccer team is trying to end their season with a bang against Ninth ranked Russia. The USA brought back Jozy Altidore to Russia, who is one of the best forwards in the game. Russi, however is2-0-2 in the series and before they were Russia, the Soviet Union never lost to the USA. USA has been very inconsistent and you dont know which team is going to show up to this game. Thats why i am picking Russia to win this matchup. Low Streak


Switzerland
Low Streak Game

Germany W/D
Germany is a huge favorite entering this game, they have a better overall team, they have a lot of players out and so does Netherlands, but at worst, the Germans will draw, netherlands will let at least one goal in for ze Germans. Im picking Germany. Low-Mid Streak

Italy
Italy has won 13 out of the last 19 games at home against france. Italy is ranked 5th and France is a dismal 18th. The last time France won in italy was in 1994, and that was when they had a good team, this team that they have this year will not match up to a good Italy team.

Florida
The Gators will win this game, mark my words, but with that being said Wisconsin shoots around 20-25 3 pointers a game, and make about 35% of them which comes out to be about 7-8 that they make per game. I  think Florida will win by double digits in this game.
Ohio TD+FG
I believe Ohio will end up winning this game straight up, Ball State overworked #25 Toledo last week, but thats because they were all fired up to win and Toledo was nervous, and killed themselves. On the other hand, Ohio lost last week to Bowling Green, which is unexcusable, but they botched 4 punts, which led to 19 Bowling Green Points. Ohio is the better team and if they can get out their own way and limit mistakes, they will win this game straight up.

Zach Randolph FG made
I expect this game to be really close and even within 5 points. These are the two best teams in the Western Conference right now and Zach Randolph is averaging 22.5 points in his last 32 games, that equates to about 10 fg per game. I dont see how the Thunder can win by double digits in this one and i expect randolph to have about 6-7 FG, and i am guessing a memphis win.

Rudy Gay Points + Rebounds or tie
Rudy gay is averaging 19 PPG and 7 rebounds per game which comes out to be about 26 between the two, Durant on the other hand has toned down his scoring this year thus far and is only averaging 23 ppg. I am expecting Gay to have a big game and end up with about 30 between the two and durant to score about 25.

Milwaukee Bucks
The bucks are trying to avoid a 3 game losing streak at home and indiana is trying to avoid a 5 game losing streak on the road. The bucks have been shooting the ball very poorly thus far but coming out with wins. Milwaukee is a solid team and i expect them in the playoffs this year, as for Indiana, they are very mediocre without Danny Granger.

Toledo Single Digit L or Win
Although Toledo lost last week against Ball State, they are still one of the top 30 teams in the nation. NIU only loss came to Iowa the first week of the season and have absolutely been killing their opponents since. the last two meetings of these teams have been won by NIU with scores of 65-30 and 63-60. Toledo wont cover the spread for the 6th straight week and Toledo will lose but win this prop
Phoenix Suns
Chicago has been playing very good basketball thus far and the loss to Boston shouldnt be of any concern. Phoenix has played solid over the last couple games and have playing good at home, but i still believe Chicago is the better team no matter where they play. That being said, Phoenix will have the advantage when  it come to Goran Dragic vs Nate Robinson. Nate Robinson is good, but Goran Dragic is way better and will overwhelm Robinson. Phoenix has the least amount of Turnovers per game and Chicago has forced the least amount of turnovers in its past three games. Im picking Phoenix

26 Points or fewer. 
This is a tossup, but i would say under as they are playing a really good defense in the memphis grizzlies.


Miami Heat
After a disappointing ass kicking from the Grizzlies, the heat will rebound from a nightmare and come to grips and beat up on the Clippers. I expect a 10+ point victory for the heat.

Atlanta Hawks
the Hawks come in with a point to be proven after playing bad the last couple of games. I like the Hawks for a 5-8 point win.





























Monday, November 12, 2012

November 13 SFTC Picks #GreenMYstreak

What will be the game result? Northern Illinois @ Valparaiso
Valparaiso wins by 20+ Points
Any other result
Analysis: Valparaiso is coming off of a huge 85-54 win against a poor Georgia Southern Team. Northern Illinois lost to a poor Nebraska Omaha Team last week 64-77. They arent even a division 1 team. Valparaiso is a 20 point favorite heading into the game and i fully expect that number to be exceeded. Im picking Valparaiso with a 20+ win against a very bad Northern Illinois team.

What will be the Game Result? Harvard @ UMASS
Harvard wins or single digit loss
UMass wins by double digits
Analysis: Harvard struggled against a non Division 1 team MIT, but pulled it out in the end 67-54. Harvard has been dealt a tremendous amount of blows already this season, not only losing there top scorer from graduating, but losing Kyle Casey and Brandyn Curry there two best players. That 26-5 season last year will not even be closed to matched this year, they will be lucky to make it to .500. UMass returns there full team that just missed out on the NCAA tournament last year. I am picking UMass to win by 13-15 points so i am going DD on Umass.

Who Will Win this Matchup
Temple Owls
@Kent State Golden Flashes
Analysis: With Temple moving to the Big East next year, they have to prepare themselves for stiff competition. Kent State should be an easy W for the Temple Owls to get their season going. Kent State struggled all of last year in the MAC conference. If Kent State wins, it will be an Upset. the line for this game is only -3.5 on Temple. I am picking Temple straight up without hesitation.

Who Will win this matchup?
Detroit Titans
@St. Johns Red Storm
Analysis: First of all, we have a Horizon league team vs a Big East team. If that isnt enough for you to make your decision then how about St. Johns returns pretty much their whole team back from last year. Although St. Johns had a disappointing year and lost to detroit last year 69-63. It is @ St. Johns and Detroit wont win this game, period. There is no way the Red Storm can lose to the Titans two years in a row. I expect St. Johns to win by 10+. St. Johnson is a 4.5 point favorite as well.

Who will win this matchup
Butler Bulldogs
Xavier Musketeers
Analysis: Stay away from this trap!!!!! These teams are way too evenly matched to pick one. If you have a gut feeling and have a losing streak, that would be the only time i would pick one of these games in this prop. I would completely skip this one!!! If i were to pick one for the record, it would be Xavier because they are at home.

NCW Basketball Kentucky @ Baylor
Baylor wins by 15+
Any other Result
Analysis: Skip this pick as well, not worth losing a streak over a coin flip womens basketball game, this one will probably go to Baylor, but i would say less than a 10 point difference.

Who will win this Matchup? Michigan State vs Kansas Jayhawks (Neutral)
Michigan State
Kansas Jayhawks
Analysis: Obviously, Michigan State hasnt started the season the way they have wanted to, but the Connecticut team that they played on Friday night was a top 25 team that just made it in this week. Kansas on the other hand struggled to a 19 point win over Southeast Missouri State. Kansas is a 2 point favorite and
Michigan State came into the year a little overrated and i would expect them to finish 5th in the big ten this year Behind Ohio State, Michigan, Indiana and Minnesota. I am picking Kansas Jayhawks for the win, although if you have a significant streak, dont waste it on this game.

Who Will Win?
Washington Wizards
Charlotte Bobcats
Analysis: Washington is the leagues worst team this year by far, Charlotte Sucks too, this is a coin flip to see who is worse. I would pick Charlotte if i had to pick.

Who Will Win?
Duke Blue Devils
Kentucky Wildcats
Analysis: Although Duke clearly has the seasoned and experienced players, you cant overlook the amount of talent that John Calipari has. Also, you cant overlook the fact that Duke is the strong underdog and i dont expect them to win this game. I would pick Kentucky to win by 7.

Who Will Win?
Portland
@ Sacramento
Analysis: Sacramento is bad, Portland has had a tough schedule to start, Portland will win this game.

Who Will Win?
San Antonio Spurs
@ Los Angeles Lakers
Analysis: If you ever want a coin flip, here you go. San Antonio is playing great basketball, but with Tony Parker DTD, he wont be 100% which puts a lot of strain on the Spurs backcourt. I think the Lakers will win this game, but it will be close for sure!






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November 12th Picks 6pm and on SFTC

NCAA Basketball
Fordham at Pittsburgh- What will be the game result?
Pittsburgh Wins by 20+ PTS  
Any Other Results
Analysis: Pittsburgh comes into the game after destroying Mount St. Marys 80-48. Fordham on the other hand comes into the game after losing two a below average Texas State team 76-86. The line for this game is Pittsburgh winning by 21.5. Pittsburgh comes into the season unranked, but by the end of December they will be ranked in the Top 25. I would expect Pitt to outrebound, cause a lot of turnovers and just completely overwhelm Fordham. I would say that Pittsburgh will win by 25-30.

NBA 
Who will win? Utah Jazz @ Toronto Raptors
Analysis: Utah is starting a 4 game road trip tonight and are really hoping to start it off strong against a struggling Toronto team. Kyle Lowry and Landry Fields are uncertain for tonights game for Toronto, which is a sizeable disadvantage as Lowry leads toronto in PPG thus far. Utah enter the game as 10 point favorites. I expect this game to be within 7-8 but I am going to have to go with the Jazz.


NBA 
Who Will Win? Boston Celtics @ Chicago Bulls
Analysis: Chicago has won 3 out of the last 4 meetings. Chicago may be without starting PG Kirk Hinrich, which puts a lot of strain on Nate Robinson, their backup, who will be outsized and outplayed by Rajon Rondo. Robinson is coming off of a strong 18 point performance against Minnesota, but Minnesota was playing without a number of their stars, and backups. I fully expect Rondo to harass Robinson tonight and overwhelm him and force a lot of turnovers. I am picking Boston tonight, but expect it to be close. Stay away from this game if you have any kind of streak.

MNF
Chiefs @ Steelers
What will be the game result?
Steelers win by 15+ Points
Any Other Result
Analysis: Steelers have entered as a 15 point favorite. Kansas City hasnt showed anything great this year and have yet to hold a lead. The Steelers rush defense  is 4th in the NFL and  Kansas City enters as the 3rd best rushing team in the League. Expect the Chiefs so turnover the ball a couple of times tonight and the Steelers to take advantage of them. I would expect the Score to be somewhere around 31-17 Steelers, so if you have a sizeable streak, stay away, im going to pick under 15 pts for this. Kansas City will have Matt Cassel under center and hasnt had much luck this year with 11 interceptions and 8 fumbles. Kansas City is not good by any means, but it is a monday night game and I expect KC to be fired up so it will probably end up being close in the end. 31-17 Steelers

Will the Steelers be leading by DD at halftime?
Yes
No 
Analysis: I would expect the Steelers to get off to a strong start trying to win this game by halftime, as they will pound the ball hard against the weak KC run defense. I expect the score at half to be about 17-7 at half, so would say they will lead by DD at half.

NCAA Basketball
What will be the Game Result? IUPUI @Michigan
Michigan Wins by 20+ PTS
Any Other Result
Analysis: Michigan enters the game as the 5th ranked team in the nation.  They are coming off of a 100-62 victory over a terrible Slippery Rock Team. They come in as 18 point favorites. They are playing an Indiana Purdue team that are coming off of a 14 point win over Utah Valley. Lets be honest though, Big Ten Basketball teams are a different breed and i would expect Michigan to win heavily, by about 17-18 points, although this one could easily go either way. Stay away if you have a nice streak going!

NBA
Denver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns
Who will Win?
Analysis:
Denver is coming off of four straight wins and havent played that well, they have been shooting the ball poorly and still coming out with wins. Suns are allowing 103.4 PPG and have no structure in their defense, and are starting games very poorly. I fully expect the Nuggets to win this by about 5-8 points. The Suns are 3-4 with their only wins coming against poor teams of Detroit, Charlotte and Cleveland. I would pick the Nuggets 75% of the time here.

How many  points will Chiefs score in the 3rd quarter?
5 points or fewer
6 points or more
Analysis: Like i said before, i think they will be behind by quite a bit at halftime, which will then fire them up for at least one drive in the third quarter, i would expect the chiefs to score about 10 pts in the 3rd quarter. Kansas City is only averaging 3.4 points in the 3rd quarter this year, so this prop is more of a tossup. Im going to go with my instinct on this one and pick 6 or more.

What will be the game result? West Virginia @ Gonzaga
West Virginia wins or loses by single digits
Gonzaga wins by double digits
Analysis: West Virginia is coming off of a disappointing season last year and Gonzaga is ranked within the Top 15. Gonzaga destroyed their opponent last week and i would expect them to beat west virginia tonight and keep things rolling. West Virginia had its last game of the season last year against Gonzaga in which they fell 77-54.  My prediction is Gonzaga wins by 15. Gonzaga also has home court advantage, where historically it has been tough, no matter who they are playing.

First to 10 Points?
Gonzaga 
West Virginia




Davidson 3 pointers made



SFTC Help Bio

Today marks the first day of my SFTC Help Blog. In this Blog, I will be analyzing each days SFTC picks with odds, recent meetings between teams, key injuries, trends, and also I will be providing the pick that I would choose as well as a confidence level of each pick. This blog is completely free, feel free to contact me with your opinions as well as any tips or anything that would help me make this a better blog. I will also be posting my record on my page as well.

Thank you.